.THERE IS minimal hesitation concerning the very likely victor of Britain's overall election on July fourth: with a lead of twenty percent factors in national viewpoint surveys, the Labour Party is actually very likely to win. However there is actually uncertainty concerning the measurements of Labour's majority in Britain's 650-seat House of Commons. Some ballot organizations have actually posted seat predictions using an unique approach known as multi-level regression and also post-stratification (MRP). What are actually these surveys-- and also how correct are they?